Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.354337 0.472264 0.608636 0.775626 0.972221 1.194046 1.460940
2025-11-16 0.208620 0.352357 0.544191 0.807833 1.149738 1.567694 2.106450
2025-11-23 0.115284 0.255435 0.473189 0.807140 1.278279 1.892908 2.728181
2025-11-30 0.072009 0.209111 0.453977 0.865173 1.484040 2.330422 3.523721
2025-12-07 0.042280 0.167518 0.426407 0.900473 1.656503 2.733142 4.298045
2025-12-14 0.022422 0.129964 0.391001 0.912139 1.789736 3.085977 5.021156
2025-12-21 0.009855 0.095540 0.346624 0.895930 1.872612 3.366725 5.653887
2025-12-28 0.004310 0.075067 0.323202 0.910712 2.002755 3.720322 6.400922
2026-01-04 0.001421 0.057144 0.296675 0.912049 2.106868 4.036425 7.102884
2026-01-11 0.000199 0.039601 0.259770 0.881972 2.149807 4.256257 7.668302
2026-01-18 0.000002 0.027352 0.230159 0.859724 2.201630 4.489159 8.257800
2026-01-25 NaN 0.020327 0.214266 0.865562 2.304560 4.807099 8.983768
2026-02-01 NaN 0.012577 0.185816 0.833655 2.333507 5.008795 9.546647
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010201 0.184143 0.873723 2.509502 5.465101 10.519357
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006888 0.170463 0.876143 2.607975 5.793004 11.300140
2026-02-22 NaN 0.006154 0.176572 0.939234 2.837908 6.355547 12.465544
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004845 0.174851 0.977477 3.016954 6.834944 13.509226
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003287 0.165902 0.990276 3.141252 7.221782 14.413095
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001768 0.149508 0.973330 3.197719 7.489225 15.129828
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001102 0.142934 0.989103 3.328193 7.892653 16.074854
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000566 0.133286 0.990577 3.425052 8.237042 16.929079
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000162 0.116608 0.958734 3.440374 8.431477 17.539681
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000027 0.103256 0.935160 3.472347 8.656340 18.203937